Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 7.932068 8.934775 9.977422 11.139393 12.395009 13.707827 15.181108
2024-10-20 6.198216 7.591474 9.123630 10.920616 12.957361 15.181507 17.780976
2024-10-27 4.977509 6.518466 8.288916 10.446896 12.979332 15.830941 19.257967
2024-11-03 4.394144 6.080728 8.088417 10.610770 13.650683 17.153257 21.449569
2024-11-10 3.936428 5.728801 7.931577 10.773576 14.278035 18.394900 23.531250
2024-11-17 3.429881 5.255346 7.572027 10.640212 14.508108 19.136330 25.003271
2024-11-24 3.072018 4.936033 7.371771 10.673625 14.917265 20.076205 26.704974
2024-12-01 2.737343 4.612768 7.135224 10.632623 15.211047 20.860493 28.211348
2024-12-08 2.457669 4.338065 6.938362 10.621110 15.525134 21.659433 29.732616
2024-12-15 2.405162 4.386297 7.179324 11.193012 16.599744 23.424880 32.475452
2024-12-22 2.180603 4.155589 7.012499 11.197111 16.919025 24.227190 34.012167
2024-12-29 2.131764 4.189510 7.219612 11.716068 17.926716 25.921504 36.694533
2025-01-05 2.019753 4.118290 7.274333 12.029528 18.674708 27.306221 39.022573
2025-01-12 1.772222 3.804773 6.951989 11.793030 18.665049 27.698693 40.079745
2025-01-19 1.490173 3.402379 6.466342 11.292826 18.266890 27.558350 40.429764
2025-01-26 1.389451 3.305179 6.444483 11.466020 18.804237 28.663613 42.413314
2025-02-02 1.297342 3.214186 6.425205 11.638082 19.338541 29.767722 44.404050
2025-02-09 1.152021 3.008497 6.207014 11.497141 19.417175 30.250030 45.570722
2025-02-16 1.053182 2.881250 6.108742 11.532455 19.745049 31.071314 47.193217
2025-02-23 0.949897 2.733336 5.965544 11.489120 19.952379 31.724615 48.592582
2025-03-02 0.861162 2.604934 5.846873 11.476951 20.200633 32.433176 50.069560
2025-03-09 0.872729 2.692534 6.109718 12.081175 21.373709 34.444016 53.332684
2025-03-16 0.795488 2.576928 6.004667 12.085505 21.646660 35.194058 54.882445